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2024-12-13 10:24:19

It is precisely because of this that Jun Ge will analyze and point out in yesterday afternoon's article that three times of opening higher and walking lower are only similar in shape but not in spirit, so the trend in the next few days will naturally not fall sharply continuously.Let's take a look at today's market. The full-day amplitude of the market is only 20 points, and it can't break through 3440 up. If it turns green down, it will be quickly pulled red. This narrow fluctuation of extremely low space is either the whole market is extremely inactive or controlled by a pair of invisible hands. This is almost the same as the trend during the Third Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee in mid-July this year!Let's take a look at the trends of insurance, brokerage and real estate yesterday. These three directions were the main force that drove the market to break through last Friday. Yesterday, all three sectors opened higher and went lower. Today, brokers and real estate quickly stopped falling, keeping the market from falling further. So who's on the pressure plate, you don't have to tell me.


Of course, some fans and friends have raised questions about this. Brother Jun noticed that in the comment area of yesterday afternoon's article, some fans and friends thought that yesterday's heavy volume was high and low, obviously there were funds fleeing. Since the funds are fleeing, no matter how the background changes, the market will probably fall in the short term!According to the analysis of Jun Ge [A-share news] this morning, there were only seven stocks with a net purchase of more than 10 million in the main institutional seats yesterday, and three of them came from the same sector, that is, prepared dishes! Prefabricated dishes are a relatively flexible subdivision direction in the theme of big consumption. Under normal circumstances, the main institutions rarely switch positions to the theme of big consumption, because the growth of the theme of big consumption is generally not high, which belongs to a typical defensive theme. Yesterday, the main institutions suddenly increased their positions to prepare vegetables, which needs our great attention.What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.


Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.

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